Title:

Raw Dough, Raw Data

When Pigs Fly is a local bread company based out of Kittery, Maine. They operate on a guaranteed sales model, which means they must buy back unsold bread from the grocery stores that carry their product. Unsold bread results in both food waste and profit loss. To quantify this waste, When Pigs Fly uses the term “credit rate,” which refers to the ratio of bread bought back to bread shipped in. In order to improve the company's credit rate, our group has developed an application to view historical sales data and predict future shipments using time series analysis. Since When Pigs Fly is in over 300 stores, this application should greatly reduce the time it takes for them to generate distribution decisions. Providing When Pigs Fly with a product that can help them make these distribution decisions more quickly and accurately should allow them to improve their credit rate and get to ideal levels.

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